Oscar Guinea
Email: oscar.guinea@ecipe.org
Mobile: +34 667 422 803
Oscar Guinea is a Director at ECIPE.
Oscar is the author of several studies in the fields of international trade, digital markets, industrial policy, civil justice, healthcare, and relationships between the EU and Latin American. He contributes regularly to debates on EU trade and technology policy through newspaper articles and public seminars. Oscar also writes a regular column for El País, where he covers EU trade and economic policy.
Oscar joined ECIPE in 2018, having previously worked as an Economic Adviser to the Scottish Government in the Office of the Chief Economic Adviser. Before that, he served as a national expert on energy policy at the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER). He has experience in evaluating regulation both as a government economist and as a private consultant.
He holds an MA in European Economic Studies from the College of Europe and an MSc in Development Economics from the University of Sussex. He earned his undergraduate degree in Economics from the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid and studied abroad at the University of Chile and the University of Macedonia.
ECIPE Occasional Papers
Boosting Competitiveness: 10 Actions for Deeper and Better Capital Markets in EU Member States
Deeper, richer, and more sophisticated capital markets are central for boosting Europe’s competitiveness and prosperity. High-performing capital markets supply all types of firms – big and small – with multiple and varied opportunities to fund themselves and their growth at all stages of development. If Europe develops policies encouraging more savings to be invested in equities, bonds and securities there will be more funding available for EU companies....
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Time is Money: The Cost of Delaying the Ratification of the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement
Between 2021 and 2025, the EU sacrificed €183bn in exports and €291bn in gross domestic product due to its failure to ratify the EU-Mercosur Agreement. These figures represent the net present value of economic activity that would have materialised had the agreement been implemented as originally scheduled in 2021. This accumulated nominal GDP loss, which reflects not only foregone exports but also unrealised gains from improved access to inputs and diversified...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Openness and Fragmentation in EU Defence Procurement
Europe’s fragmented defence procurement markets undermine Europe’s security efforts. Larger procurement markets, by contrast, deliver sharper competition, lower prices, and stronger incentives for specialisation and technological progress. Using data from the EU’s Tender Electronic Daily (TED), this Policy Brief shows domestic bias in defence procurement: three-quarters of contracts go to national firms, and cross-border awards remain limited outside smaller...
ECIPE Occasional Papers
The Economic Risks of Transposing the EU Product Liability Directive in Germany
With the Ministerial Draft (Referentenentwurf) dated 11 September 2025, Germany has embarked on transposing the EU Product Liability Directive (EU PLD) into national law, a step that goes beyond a mere regulatory update and could have far-reaching implications for its economic competitiveness. The most immediate impact will be felt within Germany’s Information and Communication Technology (ICT) industry, which stands as one of the largest in Europe. The...
Media Mention
Mercosul. CIP lamenta “custos elevados” do atraso na ratificação do acordo
(Portuguese) The study "Time is Money: The Cost of Delaying the Ratification of the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement" by Fredrik Erixon, Oscar Guinea, Philipp Lamprecht, and Elena Sisto is highlighted by RTP Noticias.
Media Mention
Europe’s own goal
(Behind paywall in Spanish) ECIPE study on the cost of delaying the ratification of the EU-Mercosur Agreement quoted in a Xavier Vidal-Folch column in El País.
Media Mention
La UE perderá 4.400 millones por cada mes sin ratificar Mercosur
(Behind Paywall in Spanish) The study "Time is Money: The Cost of Delaying the Ratification of the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement" by Fredrik Erixon, Oscar Guinea, Philipp Lamprecht, and Elena Sisto is highlighted by Expansión.
Media Mention
EU executive must decide whether to implement Mercosur deal despite setback from Parliament
The study "Time is Money: The Cost of Delaying the Ratification of the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement" by Fredrik Erixon, Oscar Guinea, Philipp Lamprecht, and Elena Sisto is highlighted by El País.
Article
Time is Money: The Cost of Delaying the Ratification of the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement
Oscar Guinea writs for What's up EU? about the cost of delaying the EU-Mercosur Agreement.
Article
La Europa de las tentaciones
(Behind paywall in Spanish) Oscar Guinea writes his column in El País about the cost of delaying the EU-Mercosur Trade Agreement.
Article
Le retard sur le Mercosur a déjà fait perdre 291 milliards d’euros à l’Europe
(Behind Paywall in French) Oscar Guinea interviewed at L'Express about the economic impact of the delayed ratification of the EU-Mercosur agreement on the EU and French economy.
Article
Óscar Guinea, director en el ‘think tank’ europeo de política comercial: “El mecanismo anticoerción está diseñado para sentarse a negociar”
(Spanish) Óscar Guinea explains the EU's anti‑coercion mechanism in an interview for Agenda Pública.
Book or Paper
The EU’s Productivity Performance: Falling Behind the Curve
Fredrik Erixon, Oscar Guinea and Oscar du Roy write an article for the EconPol Forum 03/2024 Journal from CESifo based on their study "Keeping Up with the US: Why Europe’s Productivity Is Falling Behind".
Book or Paper
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and Its Border Effects: How Can Europe Become a Better Neighbour?
First paper crafted in collaboration with Bertelsmann Stiftung focusing on CBAM.
Book or Paper
Open Strategic Autonomy: new tools for a geopolitical world
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on the latest issue of "Información Comercial Española" published by the Spanish Ministry of Industry, Commerce, and Tourism.
Book or Paper
Exporting Distortions: Chinese Industrial Policy and the European Response
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on China industrial policy and the European response on CIDOB's monography China's geoeconomic strategy and its implications for Europe
Speech or Presentation
Waiting for Draghi – Defining Europe’s Productivity Problem
Presentation by Oscar Guinea in the 20 June, 2024, ECIPE webinar.
Speech or Presentation
Strategic Autonomy and the Competitiveness of Europe’s Innovative Pharmaceutical Sector: A Wake-up Call
Oscar Guinea presents at the European Confederation of Pharmaceutical Entrepreneurs (EUCOPE)
Speech or Presentation
In Support of Market Driven Standards
Oscar Guinea presents his research on the EU New Standardisation Strategy at Orgalim
Speech or Presentation
EU Trade Dependencies
Oscar Guinea presents his research on EU trade dependencies to the European Chemical Industry Council.